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About The Battalion. (College Station, Tex.) 1893-current | View Entire Issue (Sept. 12, 1980)
Tfhreat of nuclear war icrious, experts say 1 birtll lannnlliiH United Press International NEW YORK — A nuclear war is a alpossibility l)y the end of the cen- iheinji V' Israel and the Arab na- utethe most likely combatants, say iS| Bel of experts on weapons and temational affairs. a nnottit!& results of a NEXT magazine 'PPOrttkfRf 32 civilian and military ex- H published in the magazine’s ti wanted itoln r issue, paint a chilling sce- * will Mof potential nuclear conflicts, v." Bnost unanimously, the experts „ r Hthey saw no way to reduce the ^ oi entrairH r i tnti real of nuclear war. “W( are not trying to scare peo- " },”|said an editor’s preface to the fill's in NEXT, a new monthly Ne\\i f^ x pl° res possibilities for the fu- ‘nt lire trying to open up dis- ssiwi on a subject that many peo- Hould prefer not to discuss. ” ' By agreed there was only about Brcent chance of nuclear conflict Bre 1985, but in the latter part of Ijecade and during the 1990s, the « Hes will double. ■ong the panel’s consensus con- pdiis was that nuclear wars “most 0 likely’’ would be regional, as opposed to global. The experts predicted the first such war probably will be fought be tween Israel and the Arab nations, with Israel the eventual winner. But they said a nuclear confronta tion between India and Pakistan was almost as likely — a war India would win. In the third most likely, the Soviet Union would defeat China, they said. They said a global conflict involv ing the Russians and the United States was 40 percent as likely as an Israeli-Arab nuclear exchange. The panelists are more concerned about nuclear war now because there is so much technology controlling weapons that “something might go out of whack,” the magazine said. The panelists also cited nuclear proliferation and increasing world instability as factors making atomic wars more possible. “These shifts and turnings appa rently have persuaded the panelists that we seem to be slouching toward Armageddon,” NEXT said. The magazine said it used the so- called Delphi Method to survey the experts, who included representa tives of the Carnegie Endowment for World Peace, the Brookings Institu tion, congress and the Defense De partment. The magazine said in the Delphi Method, a panelist answers a ques tionnaire without knowing who else was responding. Then they receive a list of the other experts’ names, along with a report of the combined answers. They then answer the same or similar questions again, usually arriving at consensus judgments. One panelist, George H. Quester, a Cornell University political science professor, did offer an optimistic analysis. “My own suspicion,” he said, “is that optimism is always downplayed in these polls. “You know, anybody who is look ing ahead would rather be wrong on the pessimistic side.” ‘meditated! mitted ret drug sin .‘adedinnoi due to stri is tw oi rowing also on the rise onsumers spending more ;e to irapli ise.” was eonti Tanay, a Detroit, a 1 no choic taking act i . He« ■t to the nay said, lions “an an acting United Press International WASHINGTON — Americans are spending and bor- 4ng again, and that has convinced at least one top vfernment official the 1980 recession may have hot- fed out and recovery is at hand. In a preliminary report, the Commerce Department B retail sales rose for the third straight month in gust, climbing 1.5 percent to a seasonally adjusted 9,5 billion. flBjier in the day, the Federal Reserve Board re lied Americans increased their borrowing in July for dBrst time since the recession began back in Feb- || M)day ’s report of a third successive monthly increase ifitail sales reinforces the possibility that the low point the 1980 recession has been reached and that recov- yctn.ld begin sooner than had been expected, ” Com- Srce Secretary Philip Klutznick said Wednesday. “It now appears the recession of 1980 could prove to the shortest since World War II,” he added. While the improvement in retail sales was only about If the size of July’s revised 3.1 percent increase, it cut R all major retail categories. Sales of durable goods — those products designed to last at least three years — increased 2.4 percent to $25.7 billion. Sales at non-durable goods stores rose 1 percent to $53.8 billion. July’s borrowing figures indicated consumers, while continuing to pay off old debts, are taking on new debts now that the Federal Reserve has lifted its tight credit controls. At the same time, Americans increased their payment of old debts from $24.1 billion to $25.1 billion in July. As a result, outstanding consumer debt contracted $609 million in July, only a fraction of the record $3.46 billion decline in June and the $3.43 billion drop in May. Not all of the economic news out of Washington Wednesday was rosy. In a survey completed last month, the Commerce Department asked businesses about their plant and equipment plans for the rest of the year. In March, businesses said they expected to increase capital spending by 11.1 percent this year. In June, they had reduced that figure to 9.9 percent. In the latest survey, firms now say they plan to in crease their plant and equipment spending by only 8.7 percent, to $192.5 billion this year. Hope gets smile out of Soviets United Press International MOSCOW — Bob Hope came to Red Square and even the grim faced Soviet soldiers cracked a smile. “I saw the star on top of the Kremlin and said ‘there’s my dressing room, ” the 77-year-old comedian quipped on his first visit to the Communist shrine in 21 years. The crowd of Soviet tourists filling the famous cobblestoned square understood little of Hope’s banter Wednesday afternoon. But because he was surrounded by whirring cameras and television reporters they stepped back with respect and smiled, evidently thinking some social ist dignitary had come to place flowers at the Lenin Mausoleum, inside which the founder of the Soviet state lies embalmed. “I want to go to Lenin’s Tomb,” Hope said, “and check out his makeup man.” “Who’s older?” a TV reporter chimed in. “Reagan,” Hope shot back without missing a beat. Hope stepped up to a Soviet Army soldier who grinned, shook Hope’s outstretched hand and smiled warmly. He grinned even more broadly when a U.S. Embassy official explained who Hope was. Hope was in Moscow this week for what was billed as a personal visit with U.S. Ambassador Thomas J. Watson, a longtime friend. He also plans to perform for members of the American community tonight, and said he planned to use filmed highlights of his visit in a future U.S. television program. “I’ve got to work up some things for the show today, Hope con fided. “Some of the material from my last visit, in 1959, is still fresh. Back then, we got a laugh with‘Over bere, the TV set watches you. ’It’s the same way now, but it watches you in color, I guess.” Asked to comment seriously on his impressions of Moscow today compared with the Khruschev era of nearly a quarter-century ago, Hope said the Russian people now appear to be better clothed and housed. “This place looks better off than China, which I visited last year,” Hope said. “There are a lot more cars here.” Hope wrapped up his Red Square tour with a brief stop outside St. Basil’s Cathedral, still gleaming from the fresh paint job and gilding of its onion domes done before the summer Olympics. He gazed at the heroic 1818 sculpture of Minin and Pozharsky outside the church, commemorating the merchant and nobleman who led the armies that expelled Polish soldiers from Moscow in 1612. “Hmmm,” he said. “It looks like Carter and Kennedy getting together.” THE BATTALION Page 11 FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 12, 1980 THE ART SHOPPE 10% OFF all art supplies for all Aggies! Enroll in fall art classes Oil & water color 2200 South College M-F 10-5:30 Tues. till 10 p.m. 822-3251 AIJ»IIA ZAvTA AG HONORARY FRATERNITY ANNOUNCES 1st Meeting of the year. Sept. 15th. All old members are encouraged to attend. 7:30 p.m. 302 Rudder Tower. and If you are a student currently enrolled in the College of Agriculture and think you might be interested in applying for membership in AZ come by the meeting. You must be of junior or senior status & have completed 45 hours at A&M or 30 hours if you are a transfer student and have a GPR in the top 40% of your class. ■■ XW-- X W MV 3UC KINKO’S CAST! 1 $2.4 million in gems taken in London heist United Press International LONDON — Two men, one armed with a pistol and the other with a hand grenade, burst into one of London’s most exclusive jewelers Thursday and stole $2.4 million in gems, including the famous 45-carat Marlborough diamond. Scotland Yard said one of the gun men pulled “a heavy-caliber revol ver’’ from under his jacket and pushed the uniformed guard in front of Graff s jewelers inside the store. By far the most valuable piece was the 45-carat Marlborough diamond, with an estimated value of $960,000, police said. Police said a member of the store’s staff chased the gunmen as they drove off from the store in London’s fashionable Knightsbridge section, but he lost them. Police said they have the license number of the get away car, but declined to elaborate. Officials feared that the thieves might try to cut the stone rather than try to dispose of so famous a gem. KINKO’S can COPY those notes KINKO’S can BIND those notes KINKO’S can COPY that thesis KINKO’S can BIND that thesis KINKO’S can make FINE copies KINKO’S can make FAST copies KINKO’S can copy that RESUME KINKO’S can REDUCE that copy KINKO’S can COLLATE that copy KINKO’S can do TWO-SIDED copy KINKO’S can OVERSIZED copy KINKO’S can do TRANSPARENCIES Z KINKO’S can do MAILING LABELS KINKO’S can make COPIES CHEAP KINKO’S can make COPIES CHEAP * KINKO’S can NOT make CHEAP COPIES [j KINKO’S COPIES 201 College Main Open 7 Days A Week 816-0508 Jj FOR CHARITY the great TEXAS bifee race PEDAL YOUR BIKE I I I I I I I zza i 3 i 20 MILE POMY EXPRESS STYLE RELAY RACE 00 EMTRY FEE PER •ER, FREE T-SHIRT FOR £ RACER, WITH ALL PROCEEDS lEFITTIMG CEREBRAL PALSY RACE IS SATURDAY SEPT. 27 5 DIVISIONS: OPEN MENS INDEPENDENT MENS DORM WOMENS INDEPENDENT WOMENS DORM FOR MORE INFORMATION AND ENTRY BLANKS Contact G. F. Sousares Dist. 779 0208