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Monday, April 5, 2004
IK "inances hamper Democratic
)ids to regain Senate control
By David Espo
THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
WASHINGTON
;lemocrats in numerous key
mAnate campaigns face a finan-
^7 cal disadvantage this fall,
r adc : I wording to strategists in both
ndsejJ ir ties ) the combined result of
_!_lie priority given to John
^Berry’s bid for the White
■ouse, new fund-raising restric-
lons and the location of the
competitive races.
/ 71 While developments in
klahoma and Colorado
abia Itarked expressions of opti-
-Jiism from Democrats, most
latly contested Senate races are
iitside the 17 battleground
ates targeted by Kerry, a clus-
i of independent groups sup-
3rting him and the Democratic
ational Committee.
Democrats also lag in the
istodei in( *' ra ' s ' n 8 race between the
arty senatorial committees,
ailing the Republicans in cash
hand by nearly $10 million at
ie end of March. And while
'erry works furiously to raise
lie money to compete with
(resident Bush’s record-setting
liar chest, the president raised
12.7 million for the GOP sena-
lirial committee at one event in
arch and has pledged to attend
16 tyaj dinner benefiting congression-
liree it
r appoi-
ninisien
dligent;
ations
is tod
ist tents
Paul Bte
rente.
al candidates in June.
Dan Allen, a spokesman for
the Senate GOP campaign com
mittee, said the money advantage
“will allow us to have more of an
impact on the competitive races
that are in good territory for the
Republicans to begin with.”
Brad Woodhouse, a
spokesman for the Senate
Democratic campaign commit
tee, conceded the GOP edge but
said Democrats would have the
money it needs for
the “small number
of races that we
need to impact.”
Republicans
hold a 51-48
Senate majority,
with one
Democratic-lean
ing independent.
Democrats must
gain two seats to
win a majority,
but were hit by the
retirement of five
incumbents in
Bush’s Southern
stronghold.
More recently, though,
Republican Sens. Don Nickles in
Oklahoma and Ben Nighthorse
Campbell in Colorado have
announced retirement plans, and
Democrats quickly fielded strong
contenders in both states. “We’re
moving,” asserted New Jersey
4 4
(The money ad
vantage) will allow
us to have more of
an impact on the
competitive races.
— Dan Allen
spokesman for the Senate
GOP campaign committee
Sen. Jon Corzine, who heads the
Democratic senatorial committee.
Privately, though, numerous
Democratic strategists conceded a
significant financial disadvantage
looms, the result of an unprece
dented confluence of events.
Four years ago, many of the
presidential battleground states
— Michigan, Washington,
Missouri, Ohio, Pennsylvania
among them — also had key
Senate contests. Bush and then-
Vice President Al
Gore poured
money and per
sonnel into the
states, shaping the
political terrain
with television
commercials and
get-out-the-vote
activities that
spilled over to
other races.
Two years
ago, old fund
raising rules
applied, and
Republican and Democratic
senatorial committees helped
their candidates by raising tens
of millions of dollars in dona
tions of unlimited size.
In recent years, both commit
tees bankrolled television adver
tising designed to help con
tenders in key races.
ush and Kerry’s fates shaped by
Series of unpredictable events
amic
i crowd,
kept am
are fori:
! SUITO
lent,
ijointa
By Ron Fournier
THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
has said
!th.
WASHINGTON — No president or presiden-
ial candidate ever commanded his own fate, but
his year's White House race may be unusually
apricious.
The political fortunes of President Bush and
kmocrat John Kerry are largely out of their
lontrol, pinned to unpredictable outcomes in
, the vagaries of the economy and the fight
gainst terrorism.
“There’s a lot more that can’t be controlled
ncan,” said David Danbom, history professor
tNorth Dakota State University in Fargo.
That did not stop Bush from spending $40 mil-
n on television and radio commercials in just
one month to champion his fight against terrorism
and cast Kerry as a tax-raising waffler.
Nor did it give Kerry pause as he spent $6 mil
lion in the same period to answer Bush’s charges
and accuse him of neglecting the economy.
Both candidates spent additional millions on
polling, travel and consultants. And yet, no amount
of money protects them from the unexpected:
—Will violence ebb in Iraq before Nov. 2?
—Will the economy bounce back in a way that
voters notice?
—Will terrorism hit America’s shores again? If
so, would Americans rally behind the commander
in chief or blame him?
“We don’t know the answers to those ques
tions,” said GOP consultant Joe Gaylord. “We
don’t even know all the questions.”
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