World & Nation
Page 6
The Battalion
Wednesday, October 14,1:
Debate highlights Perot
THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
WASHINGTON- In an elec
tion year filled with surprises,
Ross Perot's strong showing in
the first debate could alter elec
toral dynamics once again, ana
lysts and strategists of both par
ties suggested Tuesday.
No one expects the Texas busi
nessman to win. But his homily-
filled straight talk could translate
into a spurt of support that makes
a difference to President Bush and
Bill Clinton in individual states.
Tuesday night's vice presiden
tial debate gave Americans anoth
er chance to take a look at the Per-
ot-Stockdale ticket.
And, political observers sug
gested that, since expectations
were low for retired Adm. James
Stockdale, a credible performance
by the Viet
nam prisoner
of war-turned-
scholar could
further pique
interest in Per
ot.
Some ana
lysts said Per
ot could wind
up delivering
the coup de
grace to Bush
and hand an electoral landslide to
Democrat Clinton.
The Dallas billionaire could be
come a "resting place for disen
chanted Republicans" who would
otherwise vote for Bush but see
the president's chances as hope
less, said Democratic pollster Ge
off Garin.
"He can take a lot of votes out
of Bush's hide, especially if Bush
no longer looks like a viable can
didate," Garin said.
Third-party candidates usually
fare worse in elections than they
do in polls because, in the end,
voters don't want to throw away
their votes.
But, if Clinton retains a double
digit lead in the polls over Bush,
many voters who don't like either
Bush or Clinton may feel they
have nothing to lose by casting a
protest vote for Perot.
"The minute it looks like Bush
may not win, a significant amount
of his vote may fold and go into
another camp or stay home," said
Frank Luntz, a GOP pollster who
worked for Perot last spring and
summer.
"No longer can you say that
Perot will just fade away," Luntz
said.
Perot
The Battalion
CLASSIFIED ADS
American professor earns
Nobel Prize in economics
THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
STOCKHOLM, Sweden — American Gary S.
Becker won the Nobel Prize in economics Tuesday
for pioneering the theory that people make every
day decisions following the same rational path
long associated with business.
Before Becker began publishing his ideas in the
late 1950s, most academics considered habit and
often emotion or irrationality as the primary fac
tors in human behavior like having children or
committing crimes.
"His work can be used to explain peoples'
choice of education, how the family chooses to
spend its time, including how many children it
should have and the type of marriage," said Assar
Lindbeck of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sci
ence.
Becker, 61, a professor of sociology and econom
ics at the University of Chicago, said he was "still
in a bit of shock" about receiving the $1.2 million
prize. He was the 15th person connected to the
University of Chicago to win the Nobel economics
prize in 22 years.
"1 was interested in social problems, but fellfe
economics had the tools by which to handle te
long-term interests and social questions," Becks
said.
The key to his research is the theory that hunt:
behavior follows the same rational principle!
whether it involves a household, a business ors
organization. Though greet initially withskept
cism, his work has influenced sociology, demop
phy and criminology.
"Becker has been a hot name for 10 years but'*;
have preferred to wait and see how solid hiss
search results were since he is such a daring an)
previously controversial person/'Lindbecksail
"But year by year it became clear whatatremfr
dous influence his work has had and hebecae
the obvious candidate for the prize."
Becker's theory that people choose their leveld
education depending on its economic conse
quences is generally accepted, Lindbeck said.
But still controversial are his analyses of deo
sions to marry and divorce, based on econoE
factors.
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For Sale
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Government documents show Baker's role
in lobbying for oil spill liability in Congress
Reports raise ethical questions about chief of staff's actions
THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
WASHINGTON - White
House chief of staff James A. Bak
er III, who has large oil invest
ments, played a role in the admin
istration's effort to lobby Congress
on oil spill liability in 1990 as sec
retary of state, documents show.
The Project on Government
Oversight, a liberal research
group, said Tuesday the docu
ments raise ethical questions
about actions by Baker, who also
heads President Bush's re-election
campaign.
Janet Mullins, a former State
Department official who is now
an assistant to Bush for political
affairs at the White House, dis
missed the group's statements as
"totally bogus."
"Baker had absolutely nothing
to do with this issue," said
Mullins, who worked on the oil
spill liability
issue. She co
authored a
memo on the
subject to
Lawrence Ea-
gleburger, the
acting secre
tary of state
who was then
Baker's
deputy.
A memo
from then-
Transportation Secretary Samuel
Skinner to Baker indicated the two
discussed preparing a joint letter
urging Congress to approve inter
national accords limiting oil com
panies' liability for spills. The let
ter to Senate Majority Leader
Baker
George Mitchell was signedh
Skinner and Eagleburger,tatrci
by Baker.
That March 1990 letter is onti
several State Departmentd®
ments on the matter obtained!!
the Project on Government
sight, a nonprofit grouping's
ington that investigatesactiviSa
of the executive branchand(t
gress. The group provided cogie
of the documents to The As®:
ed Press.
Baker had promised a moiit
earlier to abstain frominvolve
ment in any issues affecting do
mestic oil and gas prices in ordf
to avoid a conflict of interest, f
Baker has a blind trusttaif
investments, but it does not sty
him from federal conflict-of-in i
est laws because it is not dives
fied.
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Egypt' s earthquake
death toll hits 400
French wine
industry faces
90s dry spell
THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
CAIRO, Egypt — Egypt's
earthquake death toll climbed
past 400 Tuesday, and officials
broadcast appeals for calm among
Egyptians terrified of another
temblor.
Many prepared for a second
night under the stars.
Authorities blamed the high
death toll partly on panic stam
pedes but mainly on the many
weak, old or poorly constructed
buildings in the Cairo area.
Countries pledged millions in
aid. A security official told Cairo
Television the search for sur
vivors was called off Tuesday at
all the scores of collapsed build
ings in the capital area except for
one: a 14-story apartment com
plex in the affluent suburb He
liopolis.
Dozens of people were be
lieved to be buried in the rubble.
Relief workers were using their
bare hands to sift through dust
and stones, and drills to cut
through steel construction rods.
Many workers said they had little
hope of finding anyone alive.
Police Maj. Gen. Nadir Noman,
director of civil defense, said 11
bodies were pulled from the de
bris by early afternoon. As many
as 15 people were found alive in
the debris shortly after the quake.
Witnesses reported two people
died Tuesday as three quake-
weakened structures collapsed in
the poor Sayeda Zeinab neighbor
hood.
Life was generally back to nor
mal elsewhere.
Hundreds of aftershocks didn't
help. Almost all were too feeble to
be felt but not to be imagined:
"Now I know what hell is like,"
said Nadia Ezzeddin, a housewife
in Cairo's residential Zamalek Is
land. In hopes of calming the
public, the official Cairo Radio
and Television broadcast a state
ment by Subhi Freiha, deputy di
rector of the government's Hel-
wan Observatory.
"All the observatory's record
ings indicate that the situation is
stable," Freiha said. "There is no
need to worry."
On TV, Information Minister
Safwat el-Sherif answered a re
porter's question about the rumor
of another strong quake by
chastising Egyptians to watch
their own media instead of believ
ing the foreign press.
The "second quake" rumor
was rampant, and intensified as
telephone service neared normal
cy Monday night.
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THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
FLEURIE, France- After!
decade of superb vintager
bountiful harvests andhigi
prices, France's wine makers
are sobering up in the 19S
The global recessionhas
trickled down to the
prestigious wine regions-
Bordeaux, Burgundy
Champagne.
The dizzying prices c
1980s have crashed amidst a
surplus of stocks, declining
■consumption and foreign
competition.
And the only winner is i
wine drinker, whocanb
good wines at reasonable
prices for the first time ini
years.
"If someone wants to
to buy wine now, the recent
vintages are down 30-40
cent from what was first
asked," said British wine ex
pert Stephen Spurrier.
That's bright news for wine
lovers, but spells gloomfot
this charming village in t
gundy's Beaujolais region,
Growers wonder if the Vir
gin Mary, venerated locally!
protector of the wine harvest
has abandoned them.
"We've had difficult peri
ods before, but none like this
since the 1940s," said Jean D»-
traive, a fourth-generation
vintner.
On the vine-draped
sides surrounding Fleurie,one
of Beaujolais' premier areas,
it's hard to see anything
wrong.
Platoons of straw-hatted
harvesters swelter in an
old dawn-to-dusk ritual, snip
ping bunches of dusty Camay
grapes.
Healthy grapes are sorted
from those withered by a sol’
prise July frost that killed 80
percent of Fleurie's harvest.
Growers in tractors jam
Fleurie's tiny streets, stick'
with grape juice, tc^ pool then
harvests at a cooperative.
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