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Analysts state
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despite deficit
I cpwgwmt?
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MERCEDES McCAMBRIDGE
’night
Mother
By
MARSHA NORMAN
1983 PULITZER PRIZE WINNER
PHYLLIS SOMERVILLE
Directed by
TOM MOORE
Associated Press
WASHINGTON — The Reagan
administration declared Wednesday
that inflation “was frozen in place”
after a third year of modest con
sumer price increases and econo
mists said there is no reason to ex
pect an early thaw.
Private analysts were positive, but
warned of getting too carried away
by a recent flood of economic news
because of what one called the “tick
ing time bomb” of the federal bud
get deficit.
The 0.2 percent rise in Decem
ber’s consumer price index brought
1984 to a dose with a 4 percent an
nual inflation rate.
Coming on the heels of a 3.8 per
cent rise in 1983 and a 3.9 percent
increase in 1982, that means prices
rose 12.1 percent during the past
three years.
And that is the best comparable
mark since the 11.5 percent increase
from 1966 to 1968 — before a tide
of inflation engulfed the economic
landscape. Annual increases in 1974,
1979 and 1980 alone exceeded the
three-year cumulative total recorded
Wednesday.
That memory and a huge federal
budget deficit accumulated under
President Reagan have combined to
keep most interest rates higher than
they have been during other periods
of moderate inflation.
White House spokesman Larry
Speakes alluded to that lingering
drag on the economy when, without
mentioning the deficit, he gave the
administration’s reaction to the latest
inflation Figures.
“Two years ago, we spoke of
needing to break the back of infla
tionary expectations,” he said. “In
every past economic recovery, infla
tion started rising with the tide of
economic growth. Now we have fro
zen inflation in place for three
straight years.”
Private economists were unani
mous in embracing the administra
tion’s prediction of continued eco
nomic growth and moderate
inflation for the year ahead.
But they were equally unanimous
in saying an unresolved deficit
threatens to etch a gray lining to
1985’s silver cloud.
William Dunkelberg, economics
professor at Purdue University,
called the deficit “a time bomb kind
of ticking away.”
Lea Tyler, an economist with
Chase Econometrics in Bala Cyn-
wyd, Pa., said, “We’re not looking
for any dramatic (price) acceleration
anytime in the next year. The out
look is very favorable.”
But she, too, spoke of long-term
inflation psychology. “It’s hard for
people to let go of that. We’re at sort
of a critical point, a crossroads de
pending an awful lot on what comes
out of Washington on deficit reduc
tion,” she said.
James Annable, chief domestic
economist for the First National
Bank of Chicago, said inflation looks
good for the next year.
Despite some occasional testimony
from administration officials that
federal deficits and high interest
rates are not necessarily linked, An
nable said he does not know of “any
truly serious credit market analyst”
who believes that.
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Plane crash death toll
now set at sixty-eight
MSC TOWNHALL/BROADWAY
JANUARY 26, 8:00 P.M.
RUDDER AUDITORIUM 845-1234
MASTER CARD/VISA
Associated Press
RENO, Nev. — Officials today
placed the number of victims of the
Galaxy Airlines plane crash at 68
and said no names would be released
for at least two or three days, until all
the identifications have been com
pleted.
Coroner Vern McCarty said at a
news conference Wednesday morn
ing that the bodies had been mis
counted as they were being loaded
into trucks on Tuesday, when offi
cials had placed the number of dead
from Flight 203 at 67.
The miscount occurred because
two body bags had been given the
same number, he said.
The latest count places the num
ber of people aboard the doomed
flight at 71, including three survi
vors, the same number listed on an
airline manifest submitted by the
Minneapolis bureau of the FBI, Mc
Carty said.
The coroner said the identifica
tion process was continuing and
going “very well,” with dental charts
completed for 47 bodies but none
positively identified yet. There will
be no names released until all bodies
have been identified, probably in
two or three days, he saia.
Meanwhile, flight recordings indi
cated that the pilot of Flight 203
knew almost immediately after take
off Monday that he had serious trou
ble and told airport controllers in a
shaking voice, “We’ve got to get back
on the ground.”
Seconds later the chartered “gam
bler’s special” skidded into a recre
ational vehicle dealership 2 1 /2 miles
from the runway, setting off a series
of fiery explosions.
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