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January 29, 1982
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United Press International
WASHINGTON — The
administration Thursday wel
comed rare good news about the
state of the sagging economy —
the first increase since July in the
government’s sensitive index of
leading indicators.
However, analysts inside and
outside government advised
caution before hailing the onset
of better times and warned that
bad weather and revisions in the
data may wipe out December’s
increase and pull January into
another decline.
The Commerce Department
said its index of leading econo
mic indicators, the first sign of
changing trends, increased 0.6
percent last month.
“This is welcome news follow
ing the steep drop between July
and October and suggests that
the recession may soon touch
bottom,” Commerce Secretary
Malcolm Baldrige said.
“Taking November and De
cember together, it looks like the
leading indicators are leveling
off,” said Robert Ortner, Com
merce Department chief eco
nomist and an administration
policy spokesman.
In Tuesday’s State of the Un
ion address, President Reagan
forecast recovery in the latter
part of 1982, but administration
officials have been less ready to
repeat their predictions of an
upturn in the spring.
The composite index gave lit
tle warning in advance of the
current recession, which the Na
tional Bureau of Economic Re
search said began in July.
But once the recession set in,
the index chronicled the dam
age by falling 0.8 percent in Au
gust, a sharp 2.1 percent in Sep
tember, another 1.8 percent in
October and — after revision
an additional 0.2 percent in
November.
Ortner said the December in-'
crease “is a further suggestion
that the worst of the declines in
the economy have occurred
already.”
Inast (d
AssociaJ
Laetrile called useless
by Mayo researchers
Delicious Charcoal Broiled Hamburgers
French Fries and Medium Drinks
all for only
United Press International
BOSTON — The nation’s
Blackthi" only official study of Laetrile has
Mlidedr found the controversial extract
U.S.SX of apricot pits, long considered
hofTat; &n anti-establishment remedy
0.
for cancer, is useless against the
disease, it was reported
Thursday.
A research team headed by
the Mayo Clinic said only one
out of 175 incurable patients
given Laetrile and placed on the
diet commonly prescribed with
the drug began to show prog-
ess, but even he worsened and
died 37 weeks later.
Most of the others died in an
average of five months, said Dr.
Charles G. Moertel, who headed
; the 18-month study reported in
fyjhe New England Journal of
direct Medicine. The surviving 25 are
rnationJ
)osal to
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rovide
sterini
admit
•ogratii
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meet®
free an:
lunch p
ase
tgam’s
close to death.
The researchers also said
some patients in the study had a
I near-lethal level of cyanide, a
component of Laetrile, in their
blood.
“We gave it our best shot, but
we could find nothing to recom
mend it to cancer patients,”
Moertel said.
I He said the study was con-
rJ ducted because “a large part of
Tthe# * e American public was con-
e fused” over conflicting claims on
^ 11 l |i the effectiveness of Laetrile.
iann . Moertel, who is head of
Mayo’s Comprehensive Cancer
Center and oncology depart
ment in Rochester, Minn., said
the study was the only one done
so far by recognized cancer sci
entists. The study also was the
only one authorized by the fed
eral Food and Drug Administra
tion.
Even though it has received
no FDA approval, Laetrile has
been legalized by 27 of 50 states
and also is legal nationwide
under a federal court order, the
report noted.
The EDA and National Can
cer Institute has said for years
the substance was worthless, but
finally relented under public
pressure and authorized the
Mayo study.
The substance, known gener-
ically as amygdalin, has been
around as a folk medicine for
centuries. It was revived as a
cancer treatment in 1952 by
Ernest Krebs Jr., who patented
it under the name Laetrile and
devised most of the treatment
regimens used today.
The Committee for Freedom
of Choice in Cancer Therapy, a
pro-Laetrile group based in Los
Altos, Calif., estimated 75,000
Americans have used the subst
ance. Major suppliers were
based in Mexico and California.
The Mayo researchers were
aided by the University of Cali
fornia at Los Angeles, Memorial
Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center
in New York City and the Uni
versity of Arizona Cancer Cen
ter in Tucson.
Participants, who ranged in
age from 18 to 84, were general
ly in good condition despite can
cer of the lung, pancreas, sto
mach, kidney or other organs. It
had been determined no con
ventional therapy would cure
them or lengthen their life span.
“It must be concluded that
amygdalin (Laetrile) in com
bination with high doses of vita
mins, pancreatic enzymes, and a
diet of the type commonly em
ployed by ‘metabolic therapists’
is of no substantive value in the
treatment of cancer,” the study
concluded. “Further investiga
tion or clinical use of such ther
apy is not justified.”
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