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Researchers recommend
Wednesday, December 1, 1971
College Station, Texas
. | iere ’s this rural area. It needs
i ribe developed. Things like more
■ | income distribution, higher
jploynient and a better overall
gjity of life are desired, but
llution and higher taxes aren’t.
you take a sociologist, an
. i; „gist, an economist, an agri-
^° C ttral production specialist and
■ If v others.
J 1 y3le f ( ve them a computer and
I* la;f
a model of the area inside
i computer. A short time later,
they’ll be able to tell you what
has to be done.
I hrased a little differently,
this is what two researchers with
the Department of Agricultural
Economics and Rural Sociology
have suggested.
Drs. Ray V. Billingsley and
Ronald D. Lacewell are talking
about computer simulation, call
ing it potentially one of the most
effective alternatives available
for rural development research.
“Simulation can be thought of
computers to develop many majors
as modeling a real life situation
and then performing experiments
on the model,” Billingsley said at
a meeting of the Southern Farm
Management Research Committee
in Atlanta, Ga., last week. “Basic
ally, these experiments are in the
form of ‘what if’ types of ques
tions.”
What if taxes are lowered?
What if a health clinic is built
on the north side of the com
munity ?
What if a polluting industry
relocates to the region?
The computer can tell the plan
ners what effect these variables
would have on other performance
variables, or on the system as a
whole.
“Modeling of physical facilities,
such as new buildings, is not new
to architects or engineers,” Bil
lingsley said, “but it is new to
the social scientists.”
Billingsley and Lacewell, both
of the Texas Agricultural Experi
ment Station, listed as examples
some models operating in the
Dominican Republic, eastern Ten
nessee, Nigeria and California.
According to Lacewell, one
model, set up in the Dominican
Republic, is designed to tell plan
ners what effect their efforts in
population control will have on
the general economy.
The model is set up in such a
way that changes in the rate of
population growth will produce
changes in death and birth rates.
These will produce changes in the
age composition of the popula
tion, which will affect the size
of the labor force and the con
sumption patterns of the popula
tion.
A few more relationships are
affected in the pattern with the
final result showing that the
country’s gross national product
is not materially affected by the
population growth rate. Gross na
tional product per capita is, how
ever.
In other words, the individuals
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are much better off than they
otherwise would have been. The
per capita GNP increases as the
population growth decreases.
Another model was set up to
evaluate agricultural floodplains.
Lacewell discovered that farmers
in floodplain areas have a ten
dency to limit their use of flood-
plains through fear of flooding.
Following the computer evalua
tion, floodplain net returns have
been shown to increase, on the
average, as much as six to seven
times over the returns prior to
the evaluation.
Billingsley and Lacewell sug
gest that, for rural development
research, submodels be developed
in the areas of economics, physi
cal land use, sociology and biology
(ecology). Variables such as in
come, employment, community
services, pollution, resource use
and tax base would be included.
The submodels would be linked
together by an executive program
using the relationships among
the submodels.
“With such a model,” Billings
ley said, “there is an opportunity
to manipulate many policy vari
ables and observe their effects
in a very short time.”
He stressed that the decisions
regarding development objectives
lie with the community leaders.
“The model simply indicates
the outcome of different actions,”
he said.
Monsanto Co.
awards grants
Monsanto Co. has awarded
A&M three grants totaling $3,300
in support of the institution’s
programs in chemistry and chemi
cal and mechanical engineering.
Dr. H. D. Grove Jr., manager
of process technology at Mon
santo's Texas City plant, pre
sented the grants to Engineering
Dean Fred J. Benson and Science
Dean J. M. Prescott in campus
ceremonies Monday. Dr. Grove is
chairman of the Monsanto Aid-
to-Education Committee for the
southwestern area of the United
States.
The funds include $1,500 for
the Chemical Engineering De
partment, $1,000 for the Mechani
cal Engineering Department and
$800 for the Chemistry Depart
ment. The firm awarded a $500
grant to the Petroleum Engineer
ing Department earlier this year.
Winkler awarded
$500 scholarship
Charles J. Winkler of Smith-
ville has been awarded a $500
Armed Forces Communications
and Electronics Association schol
arship for his studies at A&M.
An electrical engineering ma
jor, Winkler is an Army ROTC
cadet, Company K-l fii-st ser
geant and Distinguished Student.
He was selected by President
Jack K. Williams and Col. Thomas
R. Parsons, professor of military
science. Dr. W. B. Jones Jr., Elec
trical Engineering Department
head, supported Winkler’s nomi
nation.
The award is made annually at
outstanding senior Army, Air
Force and Naval ROTC institu
tions. The recipient must be in
a field of study leading to a
career in communications and is
selected on the basis of scholas
tic standing, character and mili
tary potential.
Winkler has a 3.6 overall grade
point ratio in TAMU’s 4.0 system,
has been a Distinguished Student
every semester and has straight
A’s in military science. He is a
member of Phi Eta Sigma, na
tional freshman scholastic fra
ternity, and the Institute of Elec
trical and Electronic Engineers.
Ifix receives
scholarship
Carroll G. Hix, son of Mr. and
Mrs. Gene Hix of Oak Hills, has
been awarded the Alpha Pi Mu
sophomore tuition scholarship in
industrial engineering at A&M’s
College of Engineering.
Hix was selected by a three-
member committee of the local
student chapter of the industrial
engineering honor society.
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