THE BATTALION
Page 8 College Station, Texas Thursday, December 9, 1965
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846-6312
Population Explosion Influences Ag Production
By ROBERT P. SPIVEY
Special Writer
“Population growth is the key
factor in determining our na
tion’s agricultural production
needs for the year 2010,” con
tends R. L. Skrabanek, professor,
Department of Agricultural
Economics and Sociology at Tex
as A&M University.
Currently about 180 million
people are residing in the United
States. It is projected that the
U. S. will have a population of
230 million by 1975 and 370 mil
lion for 2010. These figures as
sume a rate of growth for the
next 50 years about equal to the
growth which occurred during
the first 50-year period of the
present century. Numerically,
the increases are 50 million more
people by 1975 and 190 million
more by 2010.
Many factors are involved in
the estimation of agricultural
needs for 2010. The factors may
change at any time. It is neces
sary to make the following as
sumptions so that this report
will be valid: (1) A population
of 370 million in 2010; (2) A
healthy growth in the nation’s
economy, with a per capita in
come of $4,900 by 2010; (3) Per
capita consumption of food re
maining about the same as 1960
consumption levels; (4) An ex
port level for 2010 about the
same as in 1960, and (5) No ma
jor wars.
Using these assumptions Skra
banek predicts the agricultural
needs for 2010 are about 2.4
times today’s production levels.
Livestock and livestock products
needs will be about 2.5 times to
day’s levels, with the crop out
put needs doubling those of to
day. A major factor entering in
to the smaller proportionate in
creases needed in output for
crops than for livestock is pre
dicted further gains of between
15 and 20 per cent in the effi
ciency of feed conversion by live
stock.
“We may get a hint as to what
extent farmers and ranchers will
be able to produce enough for an
additional 50 million people by
1975 and for 190 million more by
2010 by reviewing what has hap
pened in the past,” said Skra
banek.
U. S. population doubled from
1900 to 1950, just as it is being
predicted to do for the next half-
Double
Stamps
Tuesday
SPECIALS
GOOD
THURS.
FRI.
SAT.
DEC. 9, 10, 11.
FOLGER’S — Mountain Grown
COFFEE
With Purchase
Of $2.50 or More
49
LILLY CREAMLAND
MELLORINE 3 $ 1
$-100
Light Crust
FLOUR -49
TOOTH PASTE L r e 29c
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U. S. Good Beef
Chuck or Shoulder Lb.
49
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RATH
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SMOKIE
u. S. Good
CHUCK STEAK u, 49c
THIN SLICED
SAUSAGE
Nice Lean
PORK STEAK ,.„59c
BACON
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12-Oz.
_ . -
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Pkg.
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cherries
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.. Pkg. t> JC
citron
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.. Pkg. £ JU
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. Pkg.
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Alma Brand Shoestring
Potatoes s: 10
c
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TISSUE 5 10 c
— PRODUCE —
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LETTUCE 10c
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CATSUP
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Detergent
SUPER SUDS _. Gi £49c
THIS COUPON WORTH 50
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Coupon Expires Dec. 11, 1965
‘fltccbshiic 'iitvr.
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Coupon Expires Dec. 11, 1965
f ■ M 4A* « mataai a M i
century. The farmers and ranch
ers of America ably met this in
creased production challenge.
However, the U.S. called large
ly upon expanded cultivated
acreage for the increased output
from 1900 to the end of World
War I. From World War I to
about 1937, most agricultural
gains came through the shift
from animal power to machine
power. This shift also released
large acreages formerly used to
produce food for animal power to
the production of food for human
use. The third basic factor large
ly instrumental in increased pro
duction was the application of re
search findings and technology.
“We must depend on research
to aid us double our output to
keep up with the population,”
said Skrabanek.
Further expansion of cultivat-
etd acreages in sizable propor
tions does not appear to be in the
picture. The second source, mak
ing additional cultivated land
available for the production of
food items for human consump
tion through shifting from ani
mal power to machine power, has
likewise about run its course.
Thus, the nation must turn to
new technological developments
to meet the needs of 2010.
“As if we did not have a chal
lenge big enough in the United
States alone, we must also look
to the world situation and what
is happening,” pointed out Skra
banek.
There are 3 billion inhabitants
in the world today. This is six
times the number living on the
earth at 1650. The alarming
thing about world population is
the rate at which it is growing,
It took hundreds of thousands of
years for the world population
to reach one-half billion (about
1650). It took about 200 years
for this number to double (1 bil
lion by 1850); only about 8(1
years for it to double again (2
billion in 1930); and at the pres
ent rate, the third doubling will
take only 40 years (4 billion by
1970).
Thus, world population is a
basic problem of our time, as
many nations cannot supply
enough food for the growing
masses.
It is a problem that must be
solved if people expect to go on
living on the world as they know
it.
Campus Briefs
Dr. Jack A. Dabbs will attend
the annual meeting of the Mod
em Language Association and
the American Name Society in
Chicago Dec. 27-30.
The head of the A&M de
partment of modern languages
will present a paper, “The Ber
lin Document Center.” The cen
ter was the repository for gov
ernment documents and files
captured by U. S. soldiers during
the closing months of World
War II.
★ ★ ★
Dr. Richard E. Thomas of Tex
as A&M will attend a conference
of the American Institute of
Aeronautics and Astronautics
Monday in San Diego, Calif.
The professional organization
of aerospace conference will be
on “Aerothermo Chemistry of
Turbulent Flows.” Around U
persons are expected for the in
ternational meeting Dr. Thomas,
associate professor of aerospace
engineering, said.
Prof To Conduct
Astronomy Meet
Mathematics Professor J. T.
Kent will instruct an in-service
astronomy institute in Temple
this spring.
The National Science Founda
tion-sponsored series will be of
fered in cooperation with the
university.
An organizational meeting for
the course will be held at Temple
High School Jan. 17. Day and
hour of the once-weekly class-
meetings will be set at that time.
Any science teacher for grades
7-12 is eligible to enroll for the
course, which carries 3 hours of
credit. Applicants may contact
C. M. Loyd at Texas A&M’s Na
tional Science Foundation office
for enrollment procedure.
Students accepted will receive
book and travel allowance. No
tuition will be charged.
Fireman Wants
White, Not Red
Texas A&M Firemen’s Train
ing Instructor Tou Robinson
“sees red” when he sees red.
Robinson, in fire service for 33
years, thinks firefighters should
discard traditional red-splashed
equipment in favor of white
colors.
The reason? White is easier to
see. He says it would improve the
margin of safety for firemen.
“Why not squealers for fire
trucks instead of traditional
sirens and bells?” he asks. “Why
not distinctive flashing blue
lights instead of red for fire
trucks ?”
Robinson subscribes to this
motto: “If you have been doing
something the same way for 10
years . . . change. There is a
better way.”
8 To Attend
Dallas Meetings
Eight Texas A&M professors
and students will attend a joint
meeting of the Texas Academy
of Sciences and the state branch
of the American Association of
Physics Teachers in Dallas Fri
day and Saturday.
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